Poll: Arizona Senate race Democrat Mark Kelly leads incumbent McSally by 4 Points

Democratic candidate Mark Kelly is leading Republican Sen. Martha McSally among Arizona voters, according to a new poll.

The poll, conducted by a left-leaning Public Policy Polling shows Kelly, who is married to former Arizona Democrat Congresswoman Gabby Giffords and a U.S. Navy captain has a 4 point lead over the Arizona incumbent.

According to the poll, 46 percent of polled voters said they would vote for Kelly, while 42 percent said they would vote for McSally. Only 12 percent said they were sure who they would vote for. 

McSally was appointed to her seat last year after it was vacated following the death of Republican Sen. John McCain. She had lost her Senate bid in 2018 to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, who flipped the seat formerly held by retired Republican Sen. Jeff Flake.

take our poll - story continues below

Should the Government be Mandating Masks?

  • Should the Government be Mandating Masks?  

  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.
Completing this poll grants you access to Hispolitica updates free of charge. You may opt out at anytime. You also agree to this site's Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.

One third of those surveyed identified themselves as Democrats, while 40 percent stated they are Republican. Only a quarter of those surveyed are registered independent. A breakdown of race shows 76 percent surveyed are white, while only 18 percent are Hispanic.

When asked about Sen. McSally job performance, 37 percent said they approve while 47 percent disapprove. Only 17 percent said they aren’t sure on how to rate the Senator job performance.

The same poll also conducted the presidential election. President Donald Trump lead by 1-3 percent points out of all the Democrat candidate surveyed. Between President Trump and former VP Joe Biden, the race is a close one — 46 percent to 46 percent with 8 percent saying they aren’t sure who they would pick. Trump won Arizona by 4 points in 2016.

The Arizona Senate race is a target for Democrats as they are looking to flip at least four seats to take control of the upper chamber. Since August, Kelly is leading in every poll conducted , by 1-5 points. Kelly is leading in the race by an average of 2.6 points, according to Real Clear Politics.

The Cook Political report ranks the Arizona race as a “toss-up.”

The Public Policy Polling survey conducted between Jan. 2 and Jan 4 polled 760 voters. There is a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.